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In the past, Chris Hedges has forecast the fall of America by 2030. Perhaps, perhaps not. Almost undoubtedly there will be a United States of America come January 1st, 2030 -- barring some nuclear holocaust. But what it is has been so hollowed out by decades of grift and corporate self-interest, it will be about as recognizable as Imperial Rome was to the Roman Republic. Institutional forms merely carried forward as but a facade.
But it has become clear to me 2020 has been America's last great Hurrah. By Hurrah, I mean the artificial propping up of the stock market and the upper middle class crowded around it like an enclave of apes around a monolith they worship but fundamentally don't understand, entranced to madness while the elites pull the levers of the enigmatic machine. What started as an actual economic tool, had been transformed into a retirement fund like houses for a privileged generation or two, and now is merely a casino where the house always wins -- although the ones playing seem wholly oblivious to the fact unlike in Las Vegas.
Others are cheering on Joe Biden as the next savior, much as Obama should have been. His cabinet picks show a man trying to reconstruct 2016 BAU. The man himself seems primed to be the next Jimmy Carter. For those too young to remember, that nice guy was as useful as using cat's whiskers to push a car. Mr President-Elect is a gerontocrat from another era well past his prime, the boomer's last gasp and grasp at maintaining power. It's already quite evident his administration will likely be run by teams of underlings in a multi-sided tug of war with each other, no one at the helm. This is not unique, Reagan was somewhat the same way and before him Woodrow Wilson after a stroke. But the illusion of the President being someone with his hand on the wheel was maintained, who knows what will occur when that public perception is shattered? Weekend at Bernies was fun and games when it was a random rich guy that had no fundamental power over a nation.
Today I was at possibly the last institution of American greatness, one thing most citizen's loved and could agree on. The Post Office. Established by Ben Franklin. Semi-privatized by Reagan. Stifled by Congress. Stopped neither by snow, rain, heat nor gloom of night -- it has finally been brought to its knees these last six months. Not Corona. But by a Trump desperate to win an election and decades long Republican yearning to privatize yet another public service, one that is largely self-funded but to a small fraction of what it costs to keep the military. Avowed corporatists dreaming of bringing the "free market" to streamline and inevitably force private monopolized pricing, especially on rural America. Elderly with drugs. Those running small businesses. Communities out in boondocks that will never get UPS/Fedex service, the PO being their single lifeline out into the greater world. America's last great institution has fallen. Sorting machines scrapped. Its upper tier fired or shuffled. Immense delays never seen in the past so systematically. Corona conveniently blamed.
The regionalism of the Hunger Games was an inspired bit of foreshadowing from fiction to where we're headed in the near future. In all likelihood, an increasingly autocratic North-East Corridor tail wagging the rest of the dog just as Goldman Sachs & Friends dictated $9T bailout the NYSE casino. No ideology is at play, nor any greater political theory other than The Rich Make the Rules, So Let the Rich Get Richer. Merely through disparate wealth and power and connections. In a sense, America has always centered this way regionally dating from the original Colonies and cemented in the 19th Century. It's just merely never been explicitly formalized.
Decades from now, when people ask when the peak of the US came and some may expect to hear 2020 or 2030ish perhaps. Corona or some other clear delineation like the fall of the Berlin Wall may exist. But those are just visual symptoms. The actual answer by most metrics will be 1945 and the immediate postwar. A result of a culmination of moves from early 19th Century towards hemispherical hegemony and empire. The rest of the industrialized world devastated, it served as uncontested factory and Superpower to the world. Exports were at max. Unemployment was low, wages were high. Its Universities had been bolstered by Europe's top talent since the early 1930s. It had exclusive access to the Atom Bomb. And was at the very cusp of computing which would pay major dividends later. By most metrics, America dominated everyone else.
"Hard times create strong men, strong men create good times, good times create weak men, and weak men create hard times.”
What we have left is just an afterimage placed over a husk that hasn't been dispelled quite yet. Like a major corporate stock too many bet on long after the company has slumped in reality because they remember the good times which feeds their hopium. YHOO. Sears. USA. Company or nation, the story of once-dominant interests mostly repeat as human nature stays the same.
Enjoy your 2021. A delirious "Return to the Mean" will be the main theme in most people's minds. Use that tidbit as you wish.

Hey guys :)
I have been playing online poker for a very long time now (in total around 6 years, but only got into deeper game theory and mathematics around 2 years ago, feel I was kind of a fish before as I just "played my intuition") and I feel pretty confident in my abilities at the microstakes (2NL and 5NL) getting around 13BB/100 over a relatively small hand sample of around 19000 (I only got into using Pokertracker 4 about 8-9 days ago and I know that I probably won't have 13BB/100 over a 2 Million hand sample which I am currently trying to gather) which probably means I am on a pretty good upswing, but I always used to make profit when playing for the last 1.5 years. I play 6 Max mainly and sometimes play Full Ring when my friends are over cause they don't really like 6 max. Anyways my question is related to transitioning to live poker.
I played a couple of live tournaments before and feel I have a pretty good understanding about live tells and how to avoid them. I can sometimes get decent reads on fish when they're plainly bluffing but that's also related to bet sizings and the way they played the hand rather than just pure visual reads or w/e.
I am planning on saving up for a bankroll as soon as I graduate from college so I can start playing live cash game occasionally. My local casinos (I am from Berlin) offer 1/1 NL and 1/2 NL. So I was thinking about a 3000$ bankroll for 1/1 and a 6500$ bankroll for 1/2. Any feedback on the bankroll sizings would be appreciated :)
Now to my real question (sorry for the wall of text up to this point :l)
How does the general play change when the BB is the same size as the SB? doesn't defending blinds against opens and general preflop play become way different as you are always contributing 50% of the initial pot size rather than 1/3 and 2/3 for SB and BB? I am guessing post flop won't be too much of a difference as you can adjust your sizings to the pot size then, but I am not sure if I need to change my opening ranges or 3 bet sizing when playing 1/1.
Would you guys recommend playing 1/1 or 1/2? and also where can I find resources for learning about 1/1 theory? Do you guys think my bankroll idea seems alright or should I start with a bigger one since the swings can be way more heavy when playing at stakes other than micros?
Thank you guys so much in advance and also thanks so much to this reddit for helping me improve so much over the past 2 years and recommending so many amazing books <3
Have a wonderful day guys
vul