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Michael Burry Compra Calls de LAS VEGAS SANDS y WINN RESORTS: Mi opinión sobre $LVS Y $BOLT --- PRIMER DD PERSONAL SERIO: Análisis extenso sobre la situación del sector CASINOS y CASINOS ONLINE
Voy a hacer este DD dividiendolo en 4 fases: 1) ¿Quien es Michael Burry? El doctor e inversionista Michael Burry es conocido por ser uno de los pocos que predijo la crisis del 2008, y se benefició de ella de manera bestial, yendo en contra de las hipotecas subprime (algo asi como una inversión en corto). Tal fue el logro que Christian Bale lo interpretó en la aclamada película The Big Short (La gran apuesta). Se describe así mismo como una persona con un leve trastorno de autismo. Yo personalmente, lo vi siempre como el típico yankee obsesionado con la perfección en cada una de sus inversiones. Esto lo podemos ver en su selección de acciones con grandes valores fundamentales (aunque no le crean el tipo también la pego al bet de WSB "Gamestop"), el gran acierto de derivados financieros como sus calls y puts, y su elevada confianza en tener poca diversificación en cartera 2) ¿Por que me gusta el sector del gambling? En primer lugar, debo admitirles que siempre fui un fanático de ver el nivel de locura que manejaban algunas personas al ir al casino. Y no hablo solamente del juego en si, sino del elevado nivel de gastos de estas personas en lujosas habitaciones, costosos tragos o incluso comidas. Otra de las cosas que me llamo mucho la atención, es la preparación del ambiente, a través de su música, sus olores, o incluso la vestimenta de los empleados del lugar. Debemos recordar que personalidades con gran olfato para los negocios estuvieron en este sector, como lo son Sheldon Adelson o incluso el ex presidente Donald J. Trump. Ademas hagamos mención , de que últimamente una gran cantidad de compañas del sector están incursionando en el gambling online, el cual ha demostrado ser extremadamente rentable. Sino veamos el caso de BET365 y las apuestas deportivas. 3) ¿Por que estas 2 compañas? Primero y principal: Porque todas las personas del grupo tienen la posibilidad de invertir a través de la bolsa local mediante al acción de $BOLT y el cedear de $LVS. Yo personalmente vengo viendo a estas dos compañas con gran hambre, y comencé a invertir en ambas en la caída de marzo, iniciando posiciones muy pequeñas que fueron creciendo a lo largo del tiempo. 4) Analisis de ambas compañas: Las Vegas Sands: Esta es una de las compañas mas monopólicas del sector, principalmente en los mercados de Macao (recordemos que en China los casinos están prohibidos, por lo que las personas suelen ir a barcos en el área marítima de Hong Kong o directamente a Macao) y en Singapur. Tambien debemos recordar que sus casinos mas emblemáticos, los posee en Las Vegas como su nombre lo indica, pero que los últimos años, pasaron a ser una menos del 30% de los ingresos que produce la compaña. Personalmente Adelson nunca tuvo la iniciativa de comenzar a incursionar en el sector del gambling online, pero ahora que falleció hace poco, es probable que la nueva dirección tenga iniciativa viendo la gran competencia en el sector. Particularmente, si realizamos un análisis minucioso de sus finanzas podemos ver que la acción esta en un precio con gran descuento, si tenemos en cuenta que el EVITDA que genera a día de hoy la compaña es demasiado bajo por la situación del COVID-19. Para que se den una idea, cotiza a precios de 2005 en las ultimas ruedas. Debemos recordar que esta compaña, cuenta con una gran cartera de clientes VIP, que no reparan gastos para poder ver a personalidades del espectáculo, comer las mejores comidas, escuchar a sus DJs de moda favoritos, o jugar grandes sumas de dinero en sus casinos. Y por supuesto, el mercado asiático esta creciendo a tasas agigantadas. Lo negativo es que la compaña tiene unos ratios de endeudamiento bastante altos. Ademas corren varios rumores de que la compaña piensa enfocarse totalmente en el mercado asiático, y vender sus casinos en Las Vegas, cosa que para algunos puede ser negativa, pero para mi es una excelente decisión, ya que los ingresos que produce en ese lugar son mucho menores. Boldt: Esta compaña la decidí incluir personalmente sobre todo porque es una de las empresas mas infravaloradas del MERVAL. Si vemos sus últimos estados contables, podemos ver unas perdidas billonarias, pero aun así, la compaña cuenta con una solvencia a corto plazo envidiable para afrontar sus deudas menores a 12 meses, superando por amplio margen sus activos corrientes a sus pasivos corrientes. Otra de las razones por las que pienso que sus fundamentales la acompañaran a largo plazo, es que hace muy poco tiempo, la compaña comenzó sus casinos online. Debemos de tener en cuenta que la situación económica en la Argentina es muy inestable, y que la economía no acompaña el crecimiento de este tipo de empresas. Ni hablar de la burocracia. Pero esto también lo podemos ver de manera positiva, ya que este sector goza de una posición oligopólica regulada que podría llegar a beneficiarle. Esto es todo, es mi primer análisis en profundidad para esta comunidad. Gracias a todos los que llegaron hasta acá. La verdad que no quería entrar en tantos tecnicismos, y prefería analizar a las compañas de una manera fundamental "mas entendible" para todos los miembros del grupo. Si desean aportar o comentar sus opiniones siéntanse libres de hacerlo. Muchas gracias a todos! Vamos por mucho mas 🚀 🚀 🚀
Doubledown casino - reach lv 8 for some pocket change
This is for like 600sb or something. I forget. Sounded easy. Set the game on autospin as always and set it aside. This is the LONGEST 8 levels of my life. This is taking several hours and at lv 7 it seems like I am not moving towards lv 8 at all. Any advice on bet slots or tactics here?
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Macao casinos report 93% decline in revenues for May vs one year ago. LVS, MGM, WYNN dropping now. Will June 4th Vegas reopening still have calls printing?
"Casino" - film. Any truth to this? Was LV really different back when, and really run by gangsters?
Watched this film. Along with "8 mm" and "Pain and Gain", those three films I just watch on repeat. Something about the backdrop I think, but then of course the Hollywood glossed backdrop is certainly reputed to enhance the glamour by about a factor of 10 versus reality. What I'm curious about is the actual storyline itself, based on a true story. Did the ownership of LV change with time from actual gangsters to corporate? And did the subsequent personality of the place also change, as in the film ending it describes "the dealers knew your name, what you drank etc. Vs nowadays, like checking into an airport". I ask this specifically because I have a long standing contention of the "top down" dynamic, that the ownemanageoversee'r personality, effectively transduces itself into the company and environment. Bro-science as it may sound, if the reality is in fact as the film describes, it would certainly suggest that is the case. Anyone around LV long enough or know its history well enough to comment on whether its "culture" per se, did in fact change with shift in ownership from "mob" to "corporate"? And what kind of changes specifically came with that?
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Social Media stocks such as FB (Facebook), TWTR (Twitter), SNAP (Snapchat) etc. should be viewed the same way as casino stocks such as MGM, LVS (Las Vegas Sands).
People are literally addicted to social media the same way people are addicted to gambling and alcohol. They recognize it is bad for them, they recognize it intrudes with their daily lives but they cannot control it or even limit it without professional help. Ethics aside, FB is still a strong buy even with Verizon pulling their ads. Thoughts?
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I’m currently long MGM and LVS, and I personally think they have a good amount of upside specifically MGM, although I am quite anxious because of the initial run up that MGM had earlier this week and how it has dumped the last 2 days. Do you guys agree that MGM should have some upside or should I cut my losses
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